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Think Half of a Cycle Ahead

Photo Credit: Robert Tuck || Of course, in half a cycle here, the moon will look the sameread more...

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Estimating Future Stock Returns

Idea Credit: Philosophical Economics, but I estimated and designed the graphsread more...

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Estimating Future Stock Returns, Follow-up

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OPEC and Game Theory

Photo Credit: Istvan || Note OPEC HQ in Viennaread more...

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Big Returns, Narrow Doors

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Redacted Version of the April 2016 FOMC Statement

PHOTO CREDIT: BAO DANDAN/ZUMA PRESSread more...

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Goes Down Double-Speed (Update 3)

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You Can Get Too Pessimistic

Photo Credit: Kathryn || Truly, I sympathize.  I try to be strong for others when internally I am broken.read more...

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Risk vs Return â The Dirty Secret

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Simple Stuff: What is Risk?

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The Fed Minutes are Noise

Photo Credit: duncan c || It wasn’t my intent initially to compare the words of the FOMC with the scrawlings of a vandal, but ya know, some things are surprise fitsread more...

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The Dead Model

How Lucky Do You Feel?read more...

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Saudi Arabia: Reading Tea Leaves

Photo Credit: Bahrain Ministry of Foreign Affairsread more...

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Estimating Future Stock Returns, March 2016 Update

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Brexit Boogeyman

Photo Credit: Gwydion M Williams || They do the Hokey Pokey ;)read more...

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Redacted Version of the June 2016 FOMC Statement

Photo Credit: Norman Maddeauxread more...

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The Collapse of FOMC Expectations

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Brexit Boogeyman Bellows âBoo!â

Picture Credit: Peanuts Reloaded || Roughly: “Perhaps today Brexit; Monday an exit from Italy or Spain; [then] Europe dismantles”read more...

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In Human Affairs âNever Say Neverâ

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Redacted Version of the July 2016 FOMC Statement

June 2016July 2016CommentsInformation received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April indicates that the pace of improvement in the labor market has slowed while growth in economic...

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